markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-28 · run status: success with data
- 2026-08-24Will VSG Altglienicke win on 2026-08-24?
Polymarket top market 'Will VSG Altglienicke win on 2026-08-24?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US Open, Qualification WTA: Anouk Koevermans vs Carole Monnet': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-08-24?
Polymarket top market 'Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-08-24?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Deer Gaming vs DMG Esports - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-24Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?': YES=60.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-24Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffs
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffs': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña end in a draw?': YES=40.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Winston-Salem Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Benjamin Bonzi': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 24?
Polymarket top market 'S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 24?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US Open, Qualification WTA: Elina Avanesyan vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia': YES=10.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?': YES=24.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5': YES=47.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Deer Gaming vs DMG Esports (BO3) - NLC Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Akli': YES=45.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?': YES=99.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-24Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's US Open?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)': YES=71.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo': YES=87.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 2.5': YES=76.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?': YES=42.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-24Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-24Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-24Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-24Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US Open, Qualification ATP: Joel Schwaerzler vs Gustavo Heide': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US Open, Qualification WTA: Lucia Bronzetti vs Luisina Giovannini': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5
Polymarket top market 'Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5': YES=79.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-30?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-24AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-24Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-08-24?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-24?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarket