markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-28 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?': YES=92.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US Open, Qualification ATP: Spencer Johnson vs Cristian Garin': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 0.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=67.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will AS Roma win on 2026-08-24?
Polymarket top market 'Will AS Roma win on 2026-08-24?': YES=99.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will Fulham FC win on 2026-08-24?
Polymarket top market 'Will Fulham FC win on 2026-08-24?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-24Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-24?
Polymarket top market 'Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-24?': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - United21 Group D': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-24Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24?
Polymarket top market 'Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24?': YES=93.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket