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Brazilian stocks surged Monday after Flávio Bolsonaro emerged as the presidential frontrunner following first-round voting, with investors betting the right-wing candidate would win with a large enough majority to push fiscal reform. “The conditions have never been this favorable,” an asset manager told Bloomberg, after Bolsonaristas won up and down the ballot Sunday, strengthening a potential Bolsonaro presidency that could target major spending cuts, bolstering the case for lower interest rates: Brazil has some of the highest rates in the world, which are partly to blame for the slowing economy that has weakened the incumbent. Still, “neither candidate will have a free hand” on spending, given the difficulty of getting reform through the Brazilian Congress, a macro strategist told the Financial Times.
document fetched 2026-10-06 02:56 · canonical https://semafor.com/article/10/05/2026/brazilian-stock-markets-surges-following-bolsonaro-victory