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The market odds of a rate increase at the US Federal Reserve’s October meeting sank Wednesday after the central bank published minutes of its September meeting, though Fed watchers priced in a December hike. While the Fed’s policymakers voted unanimously to raise interest rates last month, they were divided over the rationale for doing so. Some sought to head off demand-driven inflation while others wanted to curb energy and AI-driven price shocks. Last week’s cooler-than-expected jobs report, along with a rise in bond yields, bolstered the case for a pause: “The long end of the yield curve has already gone up, and that’s the end that matters to the economy,” a former Philadelphia Fed president told The Wall Street Journal.
document fetched 2026-10-08 02:56 · canonical https://semafor.com/article/10/07/2026/us-fed-minutes-show-bank-is-unlikely-to-hike-rates-in-october