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The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, a global yardstick for borrowing costs, hovered at 4.81%, its highest level since November 2023. The 5% mark is a threshold traders say could further unnerve global markets. Globally, bonds extended losses, driving borrowing costs to multi-decade highs, as conflict in the Middle East lifted energy prices. Brent crude futures climbed to a six-week high of $95 per barrel in Asian trade. Indian government bonds faced further declines for the fifth consecutive session as U.S. Treasury yields approached three-year peaks. The surge in oil prices reignited inflation concerns, particularly impacting India due to its status as a major importer. This scenario intensified expectations for monetary policy adjustments by the RBI. Critical upcoming events include the U.S. FOMC meeting and fluctuations in oil prices. As the world's third-largest oil importer and consumer, India is highly vulnerable to oil price swings. The yield on the Indian benchmark 6.94% 2036 bond climbed 2 basis points to close at 6.9754% on Wednesday. It briefly probed the 7% mark at open before dip-buying trimmed the sell-off. Traders, however, remained reluctant to buy and hold, with the 10-year yield having climbed about 13 basis points over five sessions. The crude rally, coupled with the upswing in global yields, has also hardened bets on domestic monetary policy tightening. Wednesday's 364-day Treasury-bill auction underscored that shift, as India sold 364-day bills at 5.91%, versus 5.80% last week. Overnight indexed swap rates now imply 75 basis points of RBI rate hikes over the next 12 months. "Looking ahead, the U.S. FOMC meeting, the Government's second-half borrowing programme, developments around crude oil prices and food inflation will be the key factors to watch," said Murthy Nagarajan, fixed income head at Tata Asset Management. RATES India's OIS rates split direction as traders weighed the scope of a shallow rate-hike cycle. The one-year rate shed 1.5 bps to 6%, while two-year rates gained 1 bp to 6.22%. The five-year rate rose 2.5 basis points to 6.53%. (What's moving Sensex and Nifty Track latest market news, stock tips, Budget 2025, Share Market on Budget 2025 and expert advice, on ETMarkets. Also, ETMarkets.com is now on Telegram. For fastest news alerts on financial markets, investment strategies and stocks alerts, subscribe to our Telegram feeds .) Subscribe to ET Prime and read the Economic Times ePaper Online.and Sensex Today. Top Trending Stocks: SBI Share Price, Axis Bank Share Price, HDFC Bank Share Price, Infosys Share Price, Wipro Share Price, NTPC Share Price (What's moving Sensex and Nifty Track latest market news, stock tips, Budget 2025, Share Market on Budget 2025 and expert advice, on ETMarkets. Also, ETMarkets.com is now on Telegram. For fastest news alerts on financial markets, investment strategies and stocks alerts, subscribe to our Telegram feeds .) Subscribe to ET Prime and read the Economic Times ePaper Online.and Sensex Today. Top Trending Stocks: SBI Share Price, Axis Bank Share Price, HDFC Bank Share Price, Infosys Share Price, Wipro Share Price, NTPC Share Price
document fetched 2026-09-03 03:00