DeepSeek
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market consensus 10prediction-market quotes (latest)
- 4%Did DeepSeek lie about the GPU compute budget they used in the training of v3?manifold$58.1Kresolved NO
- 4%Did DeepSeek lie about the GPU compute budget they used in the training of v3?manifold$58.1Kresolved NO
- 4%Did DeepSeek lie about the GPU compute budget they used in the training of v3?manifold$58.1Kresolved NO
- 4%Did DeepSeek lie about the GPU compute budget they used in the training of v3?manifold$58.1Kresolved NO
- 4%Did DeepSeek lie about the GPU compute budget they used in the training of v3?manifold$58.1Kresolved NO
- 4%Did DeepSeek lie about the GPU compute budget they used in the training of v3?manifold$58.1Kresolved NO
- 4%Did DeepSeek lie about the GPU compute budget they used in the training of v3?manifold$58.1Kresolved NO
- 4%Did DeepSeek lie about the GPU compute budget they used in the training of v3?manifold$58.1Kresolved NO
- 4%Did DeepSeek lie about the GPU compute budget they used in the training of v3?manifold$58.1Kresolved NO
- 4%Did DeepSeek lie about the GPU compute budget they used in the training of v3?manifold$58.1Kresolved NO
recent signals
DeepSeek has released a preview version of its DeepSeek-V4 flagship model, claiming "world-class inference performance"...
DeepSeek has released a preview version of its DeepSeek-V4 flagship model, claiming "world-class inference performance" and significantly improved agent capabilities.
A Manifold Markets prediction market question asks whether DeepSeek lied about the GPU compute budget used in training...
A Manifold Markets prediction market question asks whether DeepSeek lied about the GPU compute budget used in training v3.
A prediction market on Manifold Markets asks whether DeepSeek lied about the GPU compute budget used in training v3.
A prediction market on Manifold Markets asks whether DeepSeek lied about the GPU compute budget used in training v3.
DeepSeek has released a preview version of its new flagship model DeepSeek-V4, claiming 'world-class reasoning...
DeepSeek has released a preview version of its new flagship model DeepSeek-V4, claiming 'world-class reasoning performance' and significantly improved agent capabilities.
A prediction market on Manifold Markets, as of May 30, 2026, indicates only a 4.01% probability that DeepSeek lied...
A prediction market on Manifold Markets, as of May 30, 2026, indicates only a 4.01% probability that DeepSeek lied about the GPU compute budget used in training v3.
A prediction market on Manifold Markets is asking whether DeepSeek misrepresented the GPU compute budget used to train...
A prediction market on Manifold Markets is asking whether DeepSeek misrepresented the GPU compute budget used to train its v3 model.
A prediction market on Manifold Markets asks 'Did DeepSeek lie about the GPU compute budget they used in the training...
A prediction market on Manifold Markets asks 'Did DeepSeek lie about the GPU compute budget they used in the training of v3?' As of the latest source (2026-05-28), the consensus probability of a lie is only 4.01%, indicating that the market largely believes DeepSeek's disclosed...
On May 28, 2026, DeepSeek officially announced the preview release of DeepSeek-V4, its latest flagship model, on its...
On May 28, 2026, DeepSeek officially announced the preview release of DeepSeek-V4, its latest flagship model, on its website source.
A prediction market on Manifold Markets ( asks whether DeepSeek lied about the GPU compute budget used in training v3.
A prediction market on Manifold Markets ( asks whether DeepSeek lied about the GPU compute budget used in training v3.
A prediction market on Manifold Markets ( asks whether DeepSeek lied about the GPU compute budget used in training v3.
A prediction market on Manifold Markets ( asks whether DeepSeek lied about the GPU compute budget used in training v3.
A prediction market on Manifold Markets asks whether DeepSeek lied about the GPU compute budget used in training their...
A prediction market on Manifold Markets asks whether DeepSeek lied about the GPU compute budget used in training their v3 model.
A prediction market on Manifold asks whether DeepSeek lied about the GPU compute budget used to train its v3 model.
A prediction market on Manifold asks whether DeepSeek lied about the GPU compute budget used to train its v3 model.
DeepSeek has released a preview version of its V4 model, claiming top-tier reasoning performance and significantly...
DeepSeek has released a preview version of its V4 model, claiming top-tier reasoning performance and significantly improved agent capabilities.
A prediction market on Manifold (source: asks whether DeepSeek lied about the GPU compute budget used in training v3.
A prediction market on Manifold (source: asks whether DeepSeek lied about the GPU compute budget used in training v3.
A prediction market on Manifold Markets asks whether DeepSeek lied about the GPU compute budget used in training v3.
A prediction market on Manifold Markets asks whether DeepSeek lied about the GPU compute budget used in training v3.
A Manifold Markets prediction market dated 2026-05-25 asks 'Did DeepSeek lie about the GPU compute budget they used in...
A Manifold Markets prediction market dated 2026-05-25 asks 'Did DeepSeek lie about the GPU compute budget they used in the training of v3?' with a consensus of only 4% yes, indicating low probability of falsehood.
A prediction market on Manifold Markets asks whether DeepSeek lied about the GPU compute budget used in training its v3...
A prediction market on Manifold Markets asks whether DeepSeek lied about the GPU compute budget used in training its v3 model, with only 4% betting 'yes' as of 2026-05-25.
On 2026-05-25, DeepSeek announced a permanent 75% discount on its API pricing, intensifying the global AI price war...
On 2026-05-25, DeepSeek announced a permanent 75% discount on its API pricing, intensifying the global AI price war (Digitimes).
A prediction market on Manifold Markets (source) asks whether DeepSeek misrepresented the GPU compute budget used to...
A prediction market on Manifold Markets (source) asks whether DeepSeek misrepresented the GPU compute budget used to train its v3 model.
A Manifold Markets prediction market posed the question 'Did DeepSeek lie about the GPU compute budget they used in the...
A Manifold Markets prediction market posed the question 'Did DeepSeek lie about the GPU compute budget they used in the training of v3?' on May 24, 2026.