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Etched AI

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    2026-06-28·ETCHED·product timeline risk
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    A prediction market on Manifold Markets ( shows a consensus probability of only 2.61% for the Sohu AI chip shipping to...

    A prediction market on Manifold Markets ( shows a consensus probability of only 2.61% for the Sohu AI chip shipping to customers within a year.

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    2026-06-27·ETCHED·product shipment risk
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    A prediction market on Manifold Markets (as of June 27, 2026) currently prices the probability that ETCHED's Sohu AI...

    A prediction market on Manifold Markets (as of June 27, 2026) currently prices the probability that ETCHED's Sohu AI chip will ship to customers within one year at just 2.61%, implying extreme market skepticism about near-term delivery.

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    2026-06-25·ETCHED·product ship uncertainty
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    According to a prediction market on Manifold Markets, the probability that ETCHED's Sohu AI chip will ship to customers...

    According to a prediction market on Manifold Markets, the probability that ETCHED's Sohu AI chip will ship to customers within the next year is only 2.61% as of June 25, 2026.

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    2026-06-24·ETCHED·product launch delay
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    A prediction market on Manifold Markets shows only a 2.61% probability that the Sohu AI chip will ship to customers...

    A prediction market on Manifold Markets shows only a 2.61% probability that the Sohu AI chip will ship to customers within a year, as of June 24, 2026.

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    2026-06-17·ETCHED·product delay signal
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    A prediction market on Manifold Markets shows only 2.61% probability that Etched's Sohu AI chip will ship to customers...

    A prediction market on Manifold Markets shows only 2.61% probability that Etched's Sohu AI chip will ship to customers within a year (source: This low consensus reflects market skepticism about Etched's ability to deliver its transformer ASIC in the near term, potentially...

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    2026-06-15·ETCHED·product launch delay
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    On June 15, 2026, the Manifold Markets prediction market for ETCHED's Sohu AI chip shipping to customers within a year...

    On June 15, 2026, the Manifold Markets prediction market for ETCHED's Sohu AI chip shipping to customers within a year showed a consensus probability of only 2.61% (source).

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    2026-06-14·ETCHED·new product launch
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    As of June 14, 2026, the prediction market on Manifold Markets shows only a 2.61% consensus that ETCHED's Sohu AI chip...

    As of June 14, 2026, the prediction market on Manifold Markets shows only a 2.61% consensus that ETCHED's Sohu AI chip will ship to customers within a year (source).

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    2026-06-12·ETCHED·shipment delay risk
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    A Manifold prediction market question 'Will the Sohu AI chip ship to customers within a year?' shows a consensus of...

    A Manifold prediction market question 'Will the Sohu AI chip ship to customers within a year?' shows a consensus of only 2.61% as of 2026-06-12 (source).

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    2026-06-09·ETCHED·design loss
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    A Manifold Markets prediction market shows only a 2.61% probability that the Sohu AI chip will ship to customers within...

    A Manifold Markets prediction market shows only a 2.61% probability that the Sohu AI chip will ship to customers within a year (Manifold).

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    2026-06-09·ETCHED·product shipment risk
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    A prediction market on Manifold Markets, as of 2026-06-09, indicates only a 2.61% probability that Etched's Sohu AI...

    A prediction market on Manifold Markets, as of 2026-06-09, indicates only a 2.61% probability that Etched's Sohu AI chip will ship to customers within one year.

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    2026-06-08·ETCHED·product launch risk
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    The prediction market on Manifold ( shows only a 2.61% probability that ETCHED's Sohu AI chip will ship to customers...

    The prediction market on Manifold ( shows only a 2.61% probability that ETCHED's Sohu AI chip will ship to customers within a year.

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    2026-06-08·ETCHED·product launch risk
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    A prediction market on Manifold Markets shows only 2.61% consensus that ETCHED's Sohu AI chip will ship to customers...

    A prediction market on Manifold Markets shows only 2.61% consensus that ETCHED's Sohu AI chip will ship to customers within a year, as of 2026-06-08 (source).

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    2026-06-07·ETCHED·competitor shipment doubt
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    A prediction market on Manifold Markets indicates only a 2.61% probability that the Sohu AI chip will ship to customers...

    A prediction market on Manifold Markets indicates only a 2.61% probability that the Sohu AI chip will ship to customers within one year (as of June 7, 2026).

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    2026-06-05·ETCHED·product delay
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    A Manifold Markets prediction market asks whether the Sohu AI chip (ETCHED's product) will ship to customers within a...

    A Manifold Markets prediction market asks whether the Sohu AI chip (ETCHED's product) will ship to customers within a year.

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    2026-06-02·ETCHED·new product launch
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    A prediction market on Manifold ( as of 2026-06-02 shows only 2.61% probability that ETCHED's Sohu AI chip will ship to...

    A prediction market on Manifold ( as of 2026-06-02 shows only 2.61% probability that ETCHED's Sohu AI chip will ship to customers within a year.

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    2026-05-29·ETCHED·product timeline risk
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    A prediction market on Manifold Markets currently indicates only a 2.61% probability that ETCHED's Sohu AI chip will...

    A prediction market on Manifold Markets currently indicates only a 2.61% probability that ETCHED's Sohu AI chip will ship to customers within the next year.

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    2026-05-25·ETCHED·product shipment uncertainty
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    A prediction market on Manifold indicates a 2.61% probability that ETCHED's Sohu AI chip will ship to customers within...

    A prediction market on Manifold indicates a 2.61% probability that ETCHED's Sohu AI chip will ship to customers within a year.

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    2026-05-24·ETCHED·product shipment risk
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    The prediction market on Manifold (source) shows a consensus probability of only 2.61% that Etched's Sohu AI chip will...

    The prediction market on Manifold (source) shows a consensus probability of only 2.61% that Etched's Sohu AI chip will ship to customers within a year.

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