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market consensus 10prediction-market quotes (latest)

40%Will Elon Musk tweet that a Grok Sucessor has achieved 'AGI-level performance' or 'AGI has been reached' in 2026?manifold$955
14%Does Elon Musk claim Grok 5 is an AGI?manifold$573
40%Will Elon Musk tweet that a Grok Sucessor has achieved 'AGI-level performance' or 'AGI has been reached' in 2026?manifold$955
40%Will Elon Musk tweet that a Grok Sucessor has achieved 'AGI-level performance' or 'AGI has been reached' in 2026?manifold$955
40%Will Elon Musk tweet that a Grok Sucessor has achieved 'AGI-level performance' or 'AGI has been reached' in 2026?manifold$955
14%Does Elon Musk claim Grok 5 is an AGI?manifold$573
40%Will Elon Musk tweet that a Grok Sucessor has achieved 'AGI-level performance' or 'AGI has been reached' in 2026?manifold$955
14%Does Elon Musk claim Grok 5 is an AGI?manifold$573
40%Will Elon Musk tweet that a Grok Sucessor has achieved 'AGI-level performance' or 'AGI has been reached' in 2026?manifold$955
14%Does Elon Musk claim Grok 5 is an AGI?manifold$573

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