Manifold Markets, a prediction market platform, shows a 77.34% probability as of May 28, 2026 that Apple will release...

Manifold Markets, a prediction market platform, shows a 77.34% probability as of May 28, 2026 that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026 (source). This suggests strong market belief in Apple's move toward on-device AI processing. While not an official announcement, such high odds often reflect insider knowledge or industry signals. If realized, this could drive demand for advanced foundry capacity at TSMC, Apple's primary chip manufacturer, and potentially shift the competitive landscape for mobile AI chips. However, the evidence is limited to a single prediction market with unknown participant base, so confidence is low. The prediction window extends through end of 2026, with near-term indicators possibly within 60 days.