Apple Inc.
spillover graph 3
market consensus 10prediction-market quotes (latest)
- 77%Will Apple release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026?manifold$263
- 28%Will Apple mention OpenAI or ChatGPT in its WWDC 2026 keynote?manifold$230
- 46%Will Apple still be partnered with OpenAI in 2028?manifold$4.5K
- 25%Will Apple's WWDC 2026 keynote include any verbal reference to OpenAI?manifold$227
- 25%Will any 4 of AAPL, AMZN, ASML, GOOG, META, MSFT, NVDA, and TSM lose 60% of their peak value before 2028?manifold$12.3K
- 77%Will Apple release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026?manifold$263
- 28%Will Apple mention OpenAI or ChatGPT in its WWDC 2026 keynote?manifold$230
- 46%Will Apple still be partnered with OpenAI in 2028?manifold$4.5K
- 25%Will Apple's WWDC 2026 keynote include any verbal reference to OpenAI?manifold$227
- 25%Will any 4 of AAPL, AMZN, ASML, GOOG, META, MSFT, NVDA, and TSM lose 60% of their peak value before 2028?manifold$12.3K
recent signals
A prediction market on Manifold Markets currently shows a 77.34% probability that Apple will release an AI chip for...
A prediction market on Manifold Markets currently shows a 77.34% probability that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026 (source: Manifold).
Prediction markets on Manifold show a 77.34% probability that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026...
Prediction markets on Manifold show a 77.34% probability that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026 (source).
Qualcomm announced the Snapdragon C platform for $300+ PCs, directly competing with Apple's MacBook Neo that repurposes...
Qualcomm announced the Snapdragon C platform for $300+ PCs, directly competing with Apple's MacBook Neo that repurposes iPhone A18 dies.
Apple's heavily anticipated AI-enhanced Siri, powered by Google's Gemini, will rely significantly on cloud...
Apple's heavily anticipated AI-enhanced Siri, powered by Google's Gemini, will rely significantly on cloud infrastructure rather than on-device processing, according to a report from The Information Source 7.
A prediction market on Manifold (77.34% yes) indicates strong belief that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in...
A prediction market on Manifold (77.34% yes) indicates strong belief that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026.
A Manifold Markets prediction market shows a 77% consensus that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026...
A Manifold Markets prediction market shows a 77% consensus that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026 (source).
Reports indicate that Apple's upcoming Siri overhaul will heavily leverage Google's Gemini model, with inference...
Reports indicate that Apple's upcoming Siri overhaul will heavily leverage Google's Gemini model, with inference running both on-device and in the cloud, a departure from Apple's historical emphasis on on-device privacy (Source 7).
A prediction market on Manifold Markets ( indicates a 77% probability that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in...
A prediction market on Manifold Markets ( indicates a 77% probability that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026.
Manifold Markets, a prediction market platform, shows a 77.34% probability as of May 28, 2026 that Apple will release...
Manifold Markets, a prediction market platform, shows a 77.34% probability as of May 28, 2026 that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026 (source).
A prediction market on Manifold Markets ( now shows a 77% probability that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in...
A prediction market on Manifold Markets ( now shows a 77% probability that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026.
A prediction market on Manifold Markets indicates a 77.34% probability that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones...
A prediction market on Manifold Markets indicates a 77.34% probability that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026 (source: Manifold).
A prediction market on Manifold ( currently shows a 77.34% consensus that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in...
A prediction market on Manifold ( currently shows a 77.34% consensus that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026.
Huawei announced a new chip design approach called 'LogicFolding' for its smartphone chips, which threatens Apple's...
Huawei announced a new chip design approach called 'LogicFolding' for its smartphone chips, which threatens Apple's market share in China, according to CNBC (source).
A Manifold prediction market indicates a 77.34% probability that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026...
A Manifold prediction market indicates a 77.34% probability that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026 (source).
A Manifold prediction market on May 25, 2026, assigns a 77.34% probability to Apple releasing an AI chip for iPhones in...
A Manifold prediction market on May 25, 2026, assigns a 77.34% probability to Apple releasing an AI chip for iPhones in 2026 (source).
A Manifold Markets prediction market shows a 77% probability that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026...
A Manifold Markets prediction market shows a 77% probability that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026 (source).
A prediction market on Manifold Markets shows a 77.34% consensus (as of May 25, 2026) that Apple will release an AI...
A prediction market on Manifold Markets shows a 77.34% consensus (as of May 25, 2026) that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026.
A prediction market on Manifold ( indicates a 77% probability that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026.
A prediction market on Manifold ( indicates a 77% probability that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026.
According to a prediction market on Manifold Markets, there is a 77.34% consensus that Apple will release an AI chip...
According to a prediction market on Manifold Markets, there is a 77.34% consensus that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026 (source).
A Manifold Markets prediction market shows a 77.34% consensus that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026...
A Manifold Markets prediction market shows a 77.34% consensus that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026 (source: This is a speculative market signal, not an official announcement, but it indicates growing expectations for Apple's in-house AI chip.