Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co
spillover graph 32
relationship list
- →AAPLsupplier1.00
- →AMDsupplier1.00
- →NVDAsupplier1.00
- ←ASMLsupplier1.00
- ←AAPLcustomer1.00
- ←NVDAcustomer1.00
- ←AMDcustomer1.00
- →AVGOsupplier0.90
- →MRVLsupplier0.90
- ←KLACsupplier0.90
- ←AVGOcustomer0.90
- ←MRVLcustomer0.90
- →ALABsupplier0.80
- ←AMATsupplier0.80
- ←LRCXsupplier0.80
- ←SAMSUNGcompetitor0.80
- →CRDOsupplier0.70
- →GOOGLsupplier0.70
- →QCOMsupplier0.70
- ←CDNSpartner0.70
- ←SNPSpartner0.70
- ←GOOGLcustomer0.70
- ←QCOMcustomer0.70
- ←ASEHpartner0.70
- →INTCcompetitor0.60
- ←AMKRpartner0.60
- ←AMZNcustomer0.60
- →ALABpartner0.50
- →SMICcompetitor0.50
- ←INTCcustomer0.50
- ←METAcustomer0.50
- ←MSFTcustomer0.50
market consensus 10prediction-market quotes (latest)
- 3%US bans TSMC from selling advanced AI chips to all Chinese companies in 2025?manifold$6.2K
- 95%Will TSMC have a market cap of $1 trillion or more at the end of 2026?manifold$6.8K
- 77%Will TSMC have a market cap of $2 trillion or more at the end of 2026?manifold$348
- 8%Will Dr. Kim (https://x.com/i_loves_deep_nn?lang=en) of TSMC get doxx'd by EOY2026?manifold$239
- 3%Will TSMC or any Taiwanese entity be accused of knowingly assisting the explosive pagers and battery attack on Lebanon?manifold$5.5Kresolved NO
- 27%Will an apocalypse cult attempt to attack a TSMC facility before 2031?manifold$682
- 59%Will TSMC dominate the semiconductor manufacturing market for the next 10 years?manifold$534
- 32%Will I think by 2030 that substantial quantities of TSMC chip fabs were destroyed due to China invading Taiwanmanifold$591
- 4%Will TSMC incorporate room-temperature superconductors before 2029manifold$1.4K
- 29%Will most of TSMC's 2022-existing fabs in Taiwan be destroyed by 2030?manifold$1.5K
recent signals
Multiple prediction market questions on Manifold Markets indicate extremely high confidence (99%) that TSMC's market...
Multiple prediction market questions on Manifold Markets indicate extremely high confidence (99%) that TSMC's market capitalization will exceed $1 trillion by the end of 2025, with 94.74% probability for end of 2026 and 77.38% for $2 trillion by end of 2026.
TSMC is demonstrating strong pricing power and process leadership with two recent developments.
TSMC is demonstrating strong pricing power and process leadership with two recent developments.
According to an industry leak reported by IThome (via TechNode), Google's Tensor G6 chip will be the first to adopt...
According to an industry leak reported by IThome (via TechNode), Google's Tensor G6 chip will be the first to adopt TSMC's 2nm process, beating Apple to the leading node.
As of July 13, 2026, Manifold Markets prediction markets indicate a 94.74% probability that TSMC (TSM) will have a...
As of July 13, 2026, Manifold Markets prediction markets indicate a 94.74% probability that TSMC (TSM) will have a market cap of $1 trillion or more by the end of 2026, and a 77.38% probability of reaching $2 trillion.
TSMC reported a 67.9% year-on-year surge in June revenue to NT$442.68 billion, with first-half revenue up 35.6% to...
TSMC reported a 67.9% year-on-year surge in June revenue to NT$442.68 billion, with first-half revenue up 35.6% to NT$2.4 trillion, exceeding high-end guidance (Source: CNBC).
Prediction market consensus on Manifold Markets as of 2026-07-12 reveals extremely strong bullish sentiment on TSMC's...
Prediction market consensus on Manifold Markets as of 2026-07-12 reveals extremely strong bullish sentiment on TSMC's market capitalization and low perceived regulatory risk.
On July 12, 2026, China announced a temporary ban on helium exports, critical for semiconductor manufacturing (source:...
On July 12, 2026, China announced a temporary ban on helium exports, critical for semiconductor manufacturing (source: Acessa).
Multiple Manifold Markets prediction contracts indicate extremely high market expectations for TSMC's market cap.
Multiple Manifold Markets prediction contracts indicate extremely high market expectations for TSMC's market cap.
Meta Platforms plans to begin production of its custom AI chip, codenamed Iris, with TSMC as the manufacturer, as...
Meta Platforms plans to begin production of its custom AI chip, codenamed Iris, with TSMC as the manufacturer, as reported by Reuters and covered by LiveMint.
Typhoon Bavi is approaching Taiwan, with land and sea warnings issued across the island, including northeastern areas...
Typhoon Bavi is approaching Taiwan, with land and sea warnings issued across the island, including northeastern areas where work and school have been suspended and flights canceled (Source 1: TaiwanPlus).
Manifold Markets prediction market data from July 8, 2026 shows a 99% consensus that TSMC's market cap will reach or...
Manifold Markets prediction market data from July 8, 2026 shows a 99% consensus that TSMC's market cap will reach or exceed $1 trillion by end of 2025 (source 12).
US bans TSMC from selling advanced AI chips to all Chinese companies in 2025?
Fallback draft generated from 5 source(s) because normal LLM generation did not return a publishable candidate.
Multiple prediction market questions on Manifold Markets show strong consensus that TSMC will achieve a $1 trillion...
Multiple prediction market questions on Manifold Markets show strong consensus that TSMC will achieve a $1 trillion market cap by end of 2025 (99% probability, source) and maintain dominance.
Multiple Manifold prediction markets indicate high confidence in TSMC's market cap reaching $1 trillion by 2025 (99%)...
Multiple Manifold prediction markets indicate high confidence in TSMC's market cap reaching $1 trillion by 2025 (99%) and by 2026 (94.72%), and even $2 trillion by 2026 (76.41%).
The Manifold prediction market as of 2026-07-05 indicates strong investor confidence in TSMC's future.
The Manifold prediction market as of 2026-07-05 indicates strong investor confidence in TSMC's future.
Multiple prediction market questions on Manifold Markets indicate strong consensus that TSMC will reach a $1 trillion...
Multiple prediction market questions on Manifold Markets indicate strong consensus that TSMC will reach a $1 trillion market capitalization by the end of 2025 (99% probability, source).
TSMC has received approval for a massive $20 billion expansion of its Arizona fab, according to a report by Digitimes...
TSMC has received approval for a massive $20 billion expansion of its Arizona fab, according to a report by Digitimes on July 3, 2026.
Two reports from Digitimes on July 2, 2026 highlight growing design activity on TSMC's advanced nodes, reinforcing...
Two reports from Digitimes on July 2, 2026 highlight growing design activity on TSMC's advanced nodes, reinforcing TSMC's competitive position in AI and data center chips.
Multiple news sources indicate strong positive momentum for TSMC.
Multiple news sources indicate strong positive momentum for TSMC.
Prediction market data from Manifold Markets as of 2026-07-01 reveals strong consensus on TSMC's valuation and...
Prediction market data from Manifold Markets as of 2026-07-01 reveals strong consensus on TSMC's valuation and regulatory outlook.