Multiple prediction markets on Manifold (sources: 1, 2, 3, 4) indicate a 77% probability that Apple will release an AI...

Multiple prediction markets on Manifold (sources: 1, 2, 3, 4) indicate a 77% probability that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026 and an 80% probability that Apple will announce a major AI model partnership (e.g., with OpenAI, Google, or Anthropic) at WWDC 2026. These signals, though speculative, suggest Apple is advancing its own AI silicon and seeking external AI model integration. If realized, this could bolster Apple's edge AI capabilities, potentially impacting suppliers like TSMC (manufacturing) and competitors like NVIDIA (inference chips). The high probability of an AI partnership also implies closer ties with AI leaders such as Google. While the sources are prediction markets—not official confirmations—the consensus strength merits attention for Apple's AI trajectory.