signal type · other
competitive threat
Every published competitive threat signal with its public hit-rate inline. Belongs to the other family, which means fresh competitive threat calls borrow confidence from sibling types in the family until they earn their own sample.
all-time signals
7
published only
direct hit-rate
—
no scored predictions yet
family hit-rate
40%
15 across other
family
other
see signal-families.ts for mapping
definition
What is a competitive threat signal?
A competitive threat signal is any High-Signal-published call tagged competitive_threat by the ingest pipeline. The exact extraction rules live in python/ingest and the family rollup in /methodology. Every published instance carries ≥ 2 independent sources per the cite-or-kill rule.
every published competitive threat signal
2026-07-15 · NVDA · down · low
Multiple Manifold Markets prediction questions indicate growing market belief that Chinese AI chipmakers will erode...
2026-07-14 · NVDA · down · low
Prediction market data from Manifold Markets reveals strong consensus that China's AI chip sector will make significant...
2026-07-10 · NVDA · down · low
Two prediction market questions on Manifold Markets indicate elevated market-implied probability that China's AI chip...
2026-07-07 · NVDA · down · low
As of July 7, 2026, Manifold Markets prediction consensus shows a 74.92% probability that China's AI chip sector will...
2026-06-13 · IBM · down · low
On June 12, 2026, BeeGFS supplier ThinkParQ and tape archive supplier GRAU DATA announced a strategic partnership...
2026-06-01 · AMD · down · high
At Computex 2026, Nvidia announced RTX Spark, a Windows-on-Arm platform for laptops and desktops, marking its entry...
2026-05-27 · AAPL · down · low
Huawei announced a new chip design approach called 'LogicFolding' for its smartphone chips, which threatens Apple's...