signal type · other
custom chip development
Every published custom chip development signal with its public hit-rate inline. Belongs to the other family, which means fresh custom chip development calls borrow confidence from sibling types in the family until they earn their own sample.
all-time signals
9
published only
direct hit-rate
—
no scored predictions yet
family hit-rate
40%
15 across other
family
other
see signal-families.ts for mapping
definition
What is a custom chip development signal?
A custom chip development signal is any High-Signal-published call tagged custom_chip_development by the ingest pipeline. The exact extraction rules live in python/ingest and the family rollup in /methodology. Every published instance carries ≥ 2 independent sources per the cite-or-kill rule.
every published custom chip development signal
2026-07-15 · OPENAI · neutral · low
Prediction market data from Manifold Markets shows a 93.15% consensus that OpenAI will design and manufacture a custom...
2026-07-15 · OPENAI · up · low
Evidence: A Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 93.15% chance that OpenAI will design and manufacture a...
2026-07-13 · OPENAI · up · low
OpenAI posted a job opening for a Hardware Product Manager focused on Consumer Commerce (source: OpenAI hiring page).
2026-07-12 · OPENAI · up · low
A prediction market on Manifold Markets (source) indicates a 93.15% consensus that OpenAI will design and manufacture a...
2026-07-10 · OPENAI · up · low
Prediction markets on Manifold suggest a high probability (93.15%) that OpenAI will design and manufacture a custom AI...
2026-07-05 · OPENAI · up · low
Multiple Manifold Markets prediction markets indicate strong belief in OpenAI's eventual custom chip development,...
2026-06-09 · OPENAI · neutral · low
A prediction market on Manifold (source: assigns a 93% probability to OpenAI designing and manufacturing a custom AI...
2026-06-09 · OPENAI · up · low
Prediction market data from Manifold Markets shows a 93% consensus that OpenAI will design and manufacture a custom AI...
2026-06-04 · OPENAI · up · low
A prediction market on Manifold shows a 93% consensus that OpenAI will design and manufacture a custom AI chip by 2030...