signal type · other
design win
Every published design win signal with its public hit-rate inline. Belongs to the other family, which means fresh design win calls borrow confidence from sibling types in the family until they earn their own sample.
all-time signals
96
published only
direct hit-rate
—
no scored predictions yet
family hit-rate
40%
15 across other
family
other
see signal-families.ts for mapping
definition
What is a design win signal?
A design win signal is any High-Signal-published call tagged design_win by the ingest pipeline. The exact extraction rules live in python/ingest and the family rollup in /methodology. Every published instance carries ≥ 2 independent sources per the cite-or-kill rule.
every published design win signal
2026-08-12 · INTC · up · low
Prediction markets are assigning high probability to Intel securing a formal AI chip fab partnership with Tesla before...
2026-08-10 · INTC · up · medium
Multiple Manifold prediction markets point to an inflection point for Intel's foundry business.
2026-08-06 · INTC · up · low
Manifold, a prediction market, gives a 96.54% probability that Tesla announces a formal Intel partnership for AI chip...
2026-08-06 · NVDA · up · high
On August 5, 2026, SpaceX CEO Elon Musk announced that SpaceX will build its AI infrastructure exclusively on Nvidia,...
2026-08-04 · INTC · up · low
Manifold consensus on 'Tesla announces formal Intel partnership for AI chip fab by June 30, 2026' sits at 96.54% as of...
2026-08-04 · OPENAI · up · medium
According to House disbursement records analyzed by CNBC and reported on Aug.
2026-08-03 · INTC · up · low
Prediction market Manifold assigns a 96.54% probability to 'Tesla announces formal Intel partnership for AI chip fab by...
2026-08-02 · INTC · up · low
Prediction market data from Manifold indicates a 96.54% consensus that Tesla will announce a formal partnership with...
2026-08-01 · INTC · up · low
The highest-conviction Manifold signal in Intel's set is a 96.54% probability that Tesla announces a formal Intel...
2026-07-31 · INTC · up · low
Intel's foundry ambitions appear to be gaining concrete traction, according to prediction-market signals.
2026-07-26 · MOONSHOT · up · medium
Moonshot AI's Kimi K3 model has achieved a 'DeepSeek moment' and is now being seriously evaluated by Microsoft for use...
2026-07-25 · INTC · up · low
A prediction market on Manifold indicates a 96.54% probability that Tesla will announce a formal Intel partnership for...
2026-07-23 · MU · up · medium
On July 23, 2026, Digitimes reported that Tesla named Micron, along with TSMC and Samsung, as key partners for the...
2026-07-23 · INTC · up · medium
On July 21, 2026, Intel announced that Fortinet will use its Intel 4 node to fabricate the sixth-generation Security...
2026-07-23 · AMD · up · high
On July 22, 2026, AMD announced a strategic partnership with AI leader Anthropic to deploy up to 2 gigawatts of AMD...
2026-07-22 · AMD · up · medium
Cornelis Networks unveiled a reference architecture pairing its CN6000 SuperNIC with AMD's 6th-gen EPYC Venice...
2026-07-22 · INTC · up · high
Intel announced a strategic collaboration with Fortinet to co-develop and manufacture the Fortinet Security Processor 6...
2026-07-20 · AMZN · up · low
Two developer posts on dev.to (July 2026) detail porting Google's Gemma-4 model family to AWS Inferentia2 accelerators....
2026-07-18 · QCOM · up · medium
Qualcomm (QCOM) has secured multiple design wins for its latest Snapdragon flagship chips.
2026-07-16 · AAPL · up · low
A prediction market on Manifold ( indicates a 77.34% probability that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in...
2026-07-16 · BABA · up · medium
Alibaba (BABA) announced that its Qwen AI model will be integrated into Apple Intelligence services across iPhone,...
2026-07-16 · INTC · up · high
Intel has secured a major design win with Google choosing its EMIB-T packaging for 9th-gen TPUs (codenamed Humufish),...
2026-07-14 · SAMSUNG · up · medium
Samsung Foundry has secured a significant design win with Tesla's AI5 chip, which recently taped out on Samsung's...
2026-07-14 · TSM · up · low
According to an industry leak reported by IThome (via TechNode), Google's Tensor G6 chip will be the first to adopt...
2026-07-13 · SAMSUNG · up · medium
Digitimes reports that Tesla's next-generation AI5 chip has completed tape-out at Samsung's foundry in Taylor, Texas.
2026-07-11 · TSM · up · medium
Meta Platforms plans to begin production of its custom AI chip, codenamed Iris, with TSMC as the manufacturer, as...
2026-07-10 · AMD · up · medium
AMD's Q1 2026 revenue reached $7.438 billion with net income of $709 million, as reported in the SEC filing (source 1)....
2026-07-09 · AVGO · up · high
Apple announced a multi-year partnership with Broadcom worth over $30 billion to develop and supply custom ASIC silicon...
2026-07-07 · MU · up · low
On July 7, 2026, Digitimes reported that Micron Technology has signed a long-term memory supply agreement with Ford...
2026-07-03 · HCLTECH · up · high
HCLTech has secured a $1.14 billion AI-driven digital workplace and network management contract with a Fortune Global...
2026-07-02 · TSM · up · medium
Two reports from Digitimes on July 2, 2026 highlight growing design activity on TSMC's advanced nodes, reinforcing...
2026-07-01 · SAMSUNG · up · medium
Samsung Electro-Mechanics has signed a one-year, KRW 450 billion ($330 million) multilayer ceramic capacitor (MLCC)...
2026-06-30 · NVDA · up · medium
Nvidia continues to demonstrate strong demand for its AI GPUs, underscored by a series of positive developments in late...
2026-06-29 · AMD · up · medium
Asustor announced the Flashstor 12 Pro Gen3 and Flashstor 6 Gen3 all-flash NAS systems at Computex 2026, powered by...
2026-06-25 · BYTEDANCE · neutral · low
Digitimes reports that ByteDance has placed AI chip orders with Chinese GPU maker Iluvatar CoreX, marking a...
2026-06-25 · AVGO · up · high
On June 24, 2026, OpenAI and Broadcom jointly announced the Jalapeño inference chip, a custom ASIC designed for large...
2026-06-24 · SAMSUNG · up · medium
Samsung is planning to equip its Galaxy Ultra smartphone with the 2nm Exynos 2700 processor, according to a Digitimes...
2026-06-23 · GFS · up · medium
GlobalFoundries (GFS) has secured a $17.1 million contract from the U.S.
2026-06-23 · NVDA · up · medium
On June 22, 2026, DataCenterDynamics reported that the hybrid quantum supercomputer Roquo, installed at the Riken...
2026-06-22 · DEEPSEEK · up · medium
Tencent has started testing a new AI assistant in WeChat using DeepSeek models, signaling a design win for DeepSeek in...
2026-06-22 · INTC · up · medium
Intel is signaling a strategic turnaround with a series of reported partnerships and technology bets.
2026-06-20 · TSM · up · medium
Marvell (MRVL) is set to be among the first customers for TSMC's A14 (1.4nm) process, according to Italian tech site...
2026-06-19 · SAMSUNG · up · medium
Samsung Foundry has secured a manufacturing order from Claros to produce power-management chips for AI data centers...
2026-06-17 · LIGHTMATTER · up · medium
Lightmatter has joined the NVIDIA NVLink Fusion ecosystem, bringing its photonic interconnect technology to AI...
2026-06-17 · ARM · up · medium
Microsoft launched new Surface Pro and Surface Laptop models featuring Qualcomm's Snapdragon X2 processors, which are...
2026-06-17 · AAPL · up · low
Intel has begun risk production of its 18A-P chip node at VLSI Symposium, bringing it closer to a possible foundry deal...
2026-06-16 · BIDU · up · medium
Digitimes reports that ByteDance is in talks with Baidu to use its Kunlunxin AI chips for the Doubao AI assistant, as...
2026-06-15 · TSM · up · medium
Multiple reports indicate TSMC has secured global AI chip customers for its advanced panel-level packaging (PLP)...
2026-06-15 · BIDU · up · low
According to a Reuters report on June 15, 2026, sources indicate that ByteDance is in talks with Shanghai-based...
2026-06-15 · AMD · up · medium
AMD has reportedly secured a $350 million AI chip order, according to Hungarian tech site PCWPlus (source 21).