signal type · other

prediction market sentiment

Every published prediction market sentiment signal with its public hit-rate inline. Belongs to the other family, which means fresh prediction market sentiment calls borrow confidence from sibling types in the family until they earn their own sample.

all-time signals

published only

direct hit-rate

—

no scored predictions yet

family hit-rate

40%

15 across other

family

other

see signal-families.ts for mapping

definition

What is a prediction market sentiment signal?

A prediction market sentiment signal is any High-Signal-published call tagged prediction_market_sentiment by the ingest pipeline. The exact extraction rules live in python/ingest and the family rollup in /methodology. Every published instance carries ≥ 2 independent sources per the cite-or-kill rule.

every published prediction market sentiment signal

2026-07-24 · NVDA · up · low

Multiple prediction markets show extreme bullish sentiment for NVIDIA (NVDA).

2026-07-18 · TSM · up · low

Multiple Manifold Markets prediction questions indicate a strong consensus that TSMC's market capitalization will reach...

2026-07-13 · TSM · up · low

As of July 13, 2026, Manifold Markets prediction markets indicate a 94.74% probability that TSMC (TSM) will have a...

2026-07-03 · NVDA · up · low

Analysis of multiple prediction markets as of July 3, 2026 shows strong bullish sentiment toward NVIDIA (NVDA).

2026-06-27 · ASML · neutral · low

Multiple Manifold Markets prediction contracts as of June 27, 2026, provide a snapshot of market beliefs about ASML's...

2026-06-25 · TSM · up · low