signal type · other
regulatory change
Every published regulatory change signal with its public hit-rate inline. Belongs to the other family, which means fresh regulatory change calls borrow confidence from sibling types in the family until they earn their own sample.
all-time signals
33
published only
direct hit-rate
—
no scored predictions yet
family hit-rate
40%
15 across other
family
other
see signal-families.ts for mapping
definition
What is a regulatory change signal?
A regulatory change signal is any High-Signal-published call tagged regulatory_change by the ingest pipeline. The exact extraction rules live in python/ingest and the family rollup in /methodology. Every published instance carries ≥ 2 independent sources per the cite-or-kill rule.
every published regulatory change signal
2026-07-18 · BYTEDANCE · up · high
The U.S. Department of Justice has issued a memo stating that federal employees can now download TikTok on government...
2026-07-17 · SK_HYNIX · up · medium
A proposed South Korean bill could allow SK Hynix to bring in outside investors for new fabrication facilities,...
2026-07-15 · AMZN · down · low
Manifold market 'Will any Amazon Web Services data center be nationalized by any country by 2030?' has a 39.46%...
2026-07-14 · SK_HYNIX · up · medium
South Korea's Democratic Party has proposed amending a law to allow SK Hynix—currently a unit of SK Square under SK...
2026-07-14 · BIDU · neutral · low
On July 13, 2026, the China Internet Association published a self-regulatory pact on personal information protection...
2026-07-13 · AMZN · down · low
A prediction market on Manifold indicates a 39.46% probability that an Amazon Web Services data center will be...
2026-07-11 · META · down · high
Summary
2026-07-11 · INTC · up · medium
A Wall Street Journal report details heavy-handed White House intervention to aid Intel, including pushing it to expand...
2026-07-09 · OPENAI · up · medium
OpenAI secured U.S. regulatory clearance to broadly release its GPT-5.6 Sol, Terra, and Luna models, after initial...
2026-07-08 · BIDU · down · medium
Baidu (BIDU) was included on the U.S. China Military Company (CMC) list, triggering a public response from the company...
2026-07-03 · MU · down · medium
The Semiconductor Equipment and Materials International (SEMI) group, including members Micron and Samsung, sent a...
2026-07-02 · OPENAI · down · medium
The Financial Times reported on July 2, 2026, citing sources, that OpenAI has discussed giving a 5% stake to the US...
2026-07-02 · ANTHROPIC · up · high
In a significant regulatory reversal, the Trump administration has lifted export restrictions on Anthropic's most...
2026-06-30 · AMZN · down · low
A Manifold prediction market indicates a 39.46% probability that at least one Amazon Web Services data center will be...
2026-06-28 · ANTHROPIC · up · high
The Trump administration has partially lifted its export ban on Anthropic's most advanced AI models, Mythos 5 and Fable...
2026-06-26 · TSLA · up · medium
On June 25, 2026, the Trump administration's Department of Transportation proposed new changes to federal vehicle...
2026-06-26 · ANTHROPIC · down · high
On June 15-25, 2026, the Trump administration imposed export restrictions on Anthropic's most advanced AI models,...
2026-06-26 · OPENAI · down · high
On June 25-26, 2026, multiple reports emerged indicating that the Trump administration has asked OpenAI to stagger the...
2026-06-24 · BABA · down · medium
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. has sued the U.S. Department of Defense over its designation as a Chinese military company,...
2026-06-21 · XAI · up · low
The U.S. Justice Department has moved to dismiss an air pollution lawsuit against xAI's data center, as reported by...
2026-06-20 · AMZN · neutral · low
As of June 20, 2026, a prediction market on Manifold Markets (source) indicates a 39.46% probability that an Amazon Web...
2026-06-18 · XAI · up · medium
The U.S. Department of Justice has moved to dismiss a pollution lawsuit against xAI's data center in Mississippi,...
2026-06-14 · AMZN · down · low
A prediction market on Manifold indicates a 39.46% probability that an AWS data center will be nationalized by any...
2026-06-14 · BYTEDANCE · down · low
According to a TechCrunch report, Chinese authorities are tightening control over foreign capital, requiring top AI...
2026-06-13 · BIDU · down · medium
Baidu has been added to the U.S. Department of Defense's Chinese Military Companies (CMC) list, as evidenced by a press...
2026-06-13 · OPENAI · down · medium
A coalition of state attorneys general has subpoenaed OpenAI for documents covering advertising, consumer health data,...
2026-06-09 · NVDA · down · medium
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang declined an invitation from Senator Elizabeth Warren to testify before the Senate Banking...
2026-06-05 · AMZN · down · medium
Seattle's City Council voted to approve a one-year moratorium on new large-scale AI data centers, following testimony...
2026-06-03 · META · up · medium
The EU General Court annulled the European Commission's designation of Meta's Marketplace as a gatekeeper under the...
2026-06-02 · LITHO · up · medium
South Korea's government announced it will streamline approvals for EUV lithography equipment, accelerating expansion...
2026-06-02 · OPENAI · down · high
Florida Attorney General James Uthmeier filed a first-of-its-kind state lawsuit against OpenAI and CEO Sam Altman on...
2026-05-26 · IBM · down · low
A legal challenge threatens the $2 billion US government quantum computing investment, with $1 billion earmarked for...
2026-05-26 · CEG · up · low
On May 25, 2026, 247wallst.com reported that Trump's science advisor called the nuclear executive order (EO) the 'most...