markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?': YES=8.90%

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIAs datacenter revenue and BigTech AI capex doubles by Q4 2026': YES=32.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA FY2028 (Feb 2027 – Jan 2028) revenue exceed $400B?': YES=59.10%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=9.82%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=49.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Morocco?': YES=12.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?': YES=7.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 4?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=23.00%

Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Zachary Svajda': YES=84.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance': YES=34.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.60%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage': YES=28.00%

Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 15?': YES=3.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?': YES=5.00%

Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon WTA: Emma Navarro vs Marta Kostyuk': YES=43.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 France?': YES=8.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 4?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Sofia Kenin win the 2026 Women’s US Open?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?': YES=61.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Morocco?': YES=15.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?': YES=52.00%

Polymarket top market 'Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5': YES=70.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Drake Baldwin have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will United States win on 2026-07-06?': YES=34.00%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Morocco (-1.5)': YES=28.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance': YES=68.00%

Polymarket top market 'Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?': YES=2.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will no listed leader be out before 2027?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4?': YES=92.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?': YES=13.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket top market 'Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5': YES=43.00%

Polymarket top market 'Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5': YES=60.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=38.50%

Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkova': YES=40.00%

Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5': YES=54.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Morocco?': YES=12.00%

Polymarket top market 'Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score': YES=50.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?': YES=38.00%