markets

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will the 2026 CoolFold Financial Portfolio outperform Nvidia / NVDA over the next 6 months?': YES=50.59%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=31.49%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in the first half of 2026?': YES=62.81%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=9.73%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=34.84%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?': YES=11.67%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia be permitted to sell its Blackwell chips (B30A, B300, etc.) directly to China, before May 2026?': YES=2.15%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia stock $300 or higher in 2026': YES=22.64%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVDA (Nvidia) close April 2026 above $170?': YES=99.00%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.90%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=6.50%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=2.60%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.40%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=11.40%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.00%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=4.00%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=4.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=8.50%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=26.80%

Polymarket consensus on 'Xi Jinping out before 2027?': YES=8.00%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.90%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%