markets

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIAs datacenter revenue and BigTech AI capex doubles by Q4 2026': YES=32.00%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=7.64%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA FY2028 (Feb 2027 – Jan 2028) revenue exceed $400B?': YES=59.10%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=25.16%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in the first half of 2026?': YES=72.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia stock $300 or higher in 2026': YES=16.98%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=10.33%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia announce an N1/N1X Windows-on-Arm PC chip at its June 1 Computex keynote?': YES=75.00%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.90%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=2.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=2.00%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.30%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.00%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.60%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.00%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=5.40%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=2.60%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=8.70%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.10%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=5.00%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=4.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=9.00%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=24.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Xi Jinping out before 2027?': YES=7.00%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket consensus on 'Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%