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Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
- 2026-06-02Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-02Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-02Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-02Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-02Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=9.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-02Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=17.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=64.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=35.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=41.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=59.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?': YES=8.60%
market:polymarket