markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Michele Ribecai': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage
Polymarket top market 'Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by June 15?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=8.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals
Polymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by June 30, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on June 1?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on June 1?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-01Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by June 30?': YES=19.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election': YES=85.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers': YES=44.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs West Indies': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will David Njoku play for Philadelphia Eagles in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-01?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-01Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5': YES=60.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=64.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?': YES=58.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?': YES=4.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=98.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-01Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-01?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=35.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?': YES=38.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Polymarket top market 'Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket