markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-28 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=98.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-01Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-01?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=35.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?': YES=38.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Polymarket top market 'Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Will Austria win on 2026-06-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will Austria win on 2026-06-01?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-01Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-01Will Norway win on 2026-06-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-06-01?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?': YES=4.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=17.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-01Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins
Polymarket top market 'Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-01Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-01Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-01Knicks vs. Spurs
Polymarket top market 'Knicks vs. Spurs': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=9.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-01US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Polymarket top market 'US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-01Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?': YES=99.50%
market:polymarket