markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1': YES=58.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?': YES=6.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?': YES=58.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 2?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1': YES=54.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?': YES=66.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election': YES=84.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk': YES=46.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=40.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by June 15?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-02Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?': YES=81.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by June 30, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirstea': YES=67.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?': YES=32.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?': YES=97.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1': YES=68.00%
NRGmarket:polymarket- 2026-06-02Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by June 30?': YES=19.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=74.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=8.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=64.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=35.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will David Njoku play for Philadelphia Eagles in 2026-27?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=98.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket