markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-06-02Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by June 30?': YES=20.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will David Njoku play for Philadelphia Eagles in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury
Polymarket top market 'Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury': YES=73.00%
SANCTUARYmarket:polymarket - 2026-06-02Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=64.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners
Polymarket top market 'New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Polymarket top market 'Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals': YES=88.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?': YES=4.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=98.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=35.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks': YES=62.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=17.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-02Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-02Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals
Polymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Knicks vs. Spurs
Polymarket top market 'Knicks vs. Spurs': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-02Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels
Polymarket top market 'Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels': YES=64.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-02Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-02Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.50%
market:polymarket