markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-06-03Ethereum Up or Down on June 3?
Polymarket top market 'Ethereum Up or Down on June 3?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?': YES=76.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-03Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?': YES=24.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 3?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?': YES=76.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=9.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?': YES=7.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?': YES=11.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=98.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?': YES=6.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)': YES=66.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1': YES=51.00%
NRGmarket:polymarket- 2026-06-03Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-03Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by June 30?': YES=22.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=64.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?': YES=11.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?': YES=90.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-03Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=35.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election': YES=96.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider': YES=89.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket