markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
- 2026-06-05Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=15.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-05Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-05Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs': YES=41.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Knicks vs. Spurs
Polymarket top market 'Knicks vs. Spurs': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket