markets

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIAs datacenter revenue and BigTech AI capex doubles by Q4 2026': YES=32.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA FY2028 (Feb 2027 – Jan 2028) revenue exceed $400B?': YES=59.10%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=10.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in the first half of 2026?': YES=73.44%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia stock $300 or higher in 2026': YES=18.98%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=23.50%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2': YES=50.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 7?': YES=99.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?': YES=11.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?': YES=3.40%

Polymarket top market 'US strike on Cuba by December 31?': YES=39.00%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2': YES=53.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7?': YES=5.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 7?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?': YES=47.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by June 30?': YES=4.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=5.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=1.10%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?': YES=1.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 7?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=14.00%

Polymarket top market 'Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?': YES=3.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Alberta join the US?': YES=5.00%

Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by June 30?': YES=18.70%

Polymarket top market 'Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bu': YES=18.00%

Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by June 30?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?': YES=21.00%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2': YES=46.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?': YES=2.00%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs': YES=72.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?': YES=79.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Lindsey Horvath win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?': YES=2.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=68.00%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI': YES=49.00%