markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=8.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in the first half of 2026?': YES=23.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?': YES=19.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will United States win on 2026-07-01?': YES=72.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Japan?': YES=2.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?': YES=85.00%

Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by June 30?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?': YES=27.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Japan (-1.5)': YES=6.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?': YES=26.00%

Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+2.5)': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Japan?': YES=4.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=1.30%

Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5': YES=73.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?': YES=3.30%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Brazil (-1.5)': YES=31.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Japan?': YES=6.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?': YES=32.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=17.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?': YES=18.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 29?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?': YES=3.20%

Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon WTA: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Maja Chwalinska': YES=43.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?': YES=10.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 29?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?': YES=11.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will no listed leader be out before 2027?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?': YES=45.00%

Polymarket top market 'Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?': YES=95.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-06-30?': YES=78.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Japan?': YES=1.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?': YES=19.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=17.40%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Japan?': YES=1.60%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=38.00%

Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=11.00%

Polymarket top market 'Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5': YES=57.00%

Polymarket top market 'No one announced as next James Bond?': YES=98.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?': YES=48.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=81.00%