markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=52.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=52.00%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=7.65%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Jensen Huang cease to be CEO of Nvidia before the end of 2026?': YES=9.84%

Manifold consensus on '3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]': YES=65.32%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?': YES=3.71%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=11.08%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia be the most valuable public company in the world at the end of 2028?': YES=53.42%

Manifold consensus on 'Will @Champion1024 get a girlfriend before NVIDIA market cap hits 5.5 trillion USD?': YES=53.43%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?': YES=8.90%

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIAs datacenter revenue and BigTech AI capex doubles by Q4 2026': YES=32.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA FY2028 (Feb 2027 – Jan 2028) revenue exceed $400B?': YES=59.10%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=10.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia stock $300 or higher in 2026': YES=19.84%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=8.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in the first half of 2026?': YES=23.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?': YES=9.00%

Polymarket top market 'Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5': YES=57.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?': YES=7.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?': YES=14.00%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Brazil (-1.5)': YES=31.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Japan?': YES=6.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Argentina (-1.5)': YES=63.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?': YES=97.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?': YES=44.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will no listed leader be out before 2027?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance': YES=74.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 29?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?': YES=19.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?': YES=27.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?': YES=39.80%

Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu': YES=49.00%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Colombia (-1.5)': YES=37.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?': YES=4.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Japan?': YES=1.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?': YES=8.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will United States win on 2026-07-01?': YES=72.00%

Polymarket top market 'Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?': YES=8.10%

Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?': YES=85.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?': YES=1.10%