markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=9.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=6.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=5.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=4.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=10.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=20.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Polymarket consensus on 'Xi Jinping out before 2027?': YES=6.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.10%
market:polymarket