markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Spread: France (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-1.5)': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?': YES=99.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Laura Siegemund be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=24.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=10.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=19.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance': YES=65.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=7.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Spread: Germany (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Germany (-1.5)': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket