markets

Polymarket/Manifold/Kalshi

2,450 events on 2026-06-30role: thematic30d fetch windowcadence: contextaccess: keyless

Extracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt

Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.

Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.

Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data

← prev day2026-06-30next day →all history

2026-06-30Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones
Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones': YES=96.40%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 30?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=4.90%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?
Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?': YES=53.00%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Polymarket top market 'Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score': YES=59.00%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance': YES=63.00%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Iran leadership change by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by June 30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance': YES=89.00%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will no listed leader be out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Will Dayana Yastremska be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Polymarket top market 'Will Dayana Yastremska be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata
Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?': YES=20.60%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Spread: France (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-1.5)': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-06-30?': YES=77.00%
market:polymarket
2026-06-30Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket