markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 30?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Adrian Mannarino vs Titouan Droguet': YES=91.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score': YES=59.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance': YES=63.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon WTA: Talia Gibson vs Marie Bouzkova': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard': YES=46.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=81.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will no listed leader be out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance': YES=89.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Dayana Yastremska be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata': YES=18.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?': YES=16.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Spread: France (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-1.5)': YES=53.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket