markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-06-30Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=4.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=20.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=7.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=26.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=10.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?': YES=97.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?': YES=49.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Trump out as President before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'Trump out as President before GTA VI?': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket