markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-07-01Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Argentina (-1.5)': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Antonia Ruzic': YES=79.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance': YES=89.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?': YES=84.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?': YES=74.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Austin Reaves play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 1?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?': YES=4.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Mariano Navone vs Flavio Cobolli': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)': YES=42.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=46.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Corey Seager win the 2026 American League MVP Award?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=4.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?': YES=14.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will United States win on 2026-07-01?': YES=71.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane': YES=84.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Will England win on 2026-07-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-01?': YES=77.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Carlos Rodón strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Spread: United States (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: United States (-1.5)': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?': YES=93.60%
ANTHROPICmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Alex Molcan vs Daniel Altmaier': YES=69.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shohei Ohtani strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner': YES=56.00%
market:polymarket