markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Shohei Ohtani strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In': YES=95.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Spread: England (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: England (-1.5)': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kevin Gausman strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Xinyu Wang be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=9.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=10.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=18.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=32.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=15.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=5.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=12.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=19.90%
market:polymarket