markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-01Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 1.5': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane': YES=83.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?': YES=97.90%
ANTHROPICmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Ecuador?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Ecuador?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees
Polymarket top market 'Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 Ecuador?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 Ecuador?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Dayana Yastremska be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics': YES=71.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5': YES=59.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Ecuador?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Ecuador?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Carlos Rodón strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 7.5 Total Corners': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Alex Molcan vs Daniel Altmaier': YES=73.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shohei Ohtani strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kevin Gausman strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Spread: Mexico (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Mexico (-1.5)': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=9.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=10.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=18.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=33.30%
market:polymarket