markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shohei Ohtani strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kevin Gausman strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Spread: France (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-2.5)': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=9.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon WTA: Serena Williams vs Maya Joint': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=19.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=28.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance': YES=86.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Spread: France (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-1.5)': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket