markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-07Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Colombia?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Colombia?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 4.5
Polymarket top market 'Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 4.5': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-07-09?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance': YES=77.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 1.5': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?': YES=97.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Will England win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-11?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=67.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Matt Olson win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Colombia?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Colombia?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 3 Colombia?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 3 Colombia?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Inner Circle vs 1win - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
CIRCLEmarket:polymarket- 2026-07-07Colombia leading at halftime?
Polymarket top market 'Colombia leading at halftime?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=29.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 2 Colombia?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 2 Colombia?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=4.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins
Polymarket top market 'Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Colombia?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Colombia?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Switzerland vs. Colombia: Draw at halftime?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=37.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 Colombia?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 Colombia?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Colombia?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Colombia?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners': YES=80.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 0.5': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=83.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 2 Colombia?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 2 Colombia?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Colombia?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Colombia?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarket