markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets
Polymarket top market 'Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5': YES=29.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverev': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Spread: France (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-2.5)': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=20.00%
NRGmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=8.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: Team to Advance': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'T20 Series England vs India: England vs India': YES=75.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'France vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Corners': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Morocco?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Polymarket top market 'Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates': YES=63.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Morocco?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 15?': YES=15.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Polymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays': YES=32.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5': YES=69.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will James Harden play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?': YES=22.25%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'ODI Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Morocco?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=14.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5': YES=73.75%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Morocco?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Morocco?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Morocco?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Morocco?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?': YES=59.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance': YES=74.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5': YES=54.25%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=67.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?': YES=25.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Morocco?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket