markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Newport: Reese Brantmeier vs Elizabeth Mandlik': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Draymond Green play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5': YES=41.75%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goals': YES=2.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Spread: Morocco (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Morocco (-2.5)': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=14.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09France vs. Morocco: France O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Morocco: France O/U 2.5': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverev': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 15?': YES=14.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'France vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Any Other Score?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09France vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?': YES=22.75%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Spread: Morocco (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Morocco (-1.5)': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?': YES=4.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance': YES=74.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 AL Central title?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: Team to Advance': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09France vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'T20 Series England vs India: England vs India': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5': YES=54.25%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?': YES=59.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09France leading at halftime?
Polymarket top market 'France leading at halftime?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'France vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Corners': YES=43.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=86.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Morocco?': YES=8.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Morocco?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Morocco?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Newport: Adrian Mannarino vs Alexis Galarneau': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-09Spread: France (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-2.5)': YES=8.75%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-09France vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket