markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Pedri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Spain vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Belgium?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Belgium?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)': YES=98.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=62.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Belgium?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Belgium?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance': YES=74.75%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs': YES=88.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Belgium?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Belgium?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Belgium?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Belgium?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=79.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5': YES=69.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?': YES=57.75%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Polymarket top market 'Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Belgium?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Belgium?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Newport: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Mary Stoiana': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Valorant: 100 Thieves vs MIBR LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Will England win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-11?': YES=51.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Brandon Lowe hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Belgium?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Belgium?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 AL Central title?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Corners': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Belgium?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Belgium?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Stefan Kozlov
Polymarket top market 'Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Stefan Kozlov': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Belgium?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Belgium?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: B8 vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffs': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Belgium?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Belgium?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Belgium?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Belgium?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?': YES=23.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket