markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-10Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: Team to Advance': YES=35.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Spread: Spain (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spain (-1.5)': YES=35.75%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=15.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=17.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?': YES=15.75%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5': YES=54.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will no listed leader be out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance': YES=74.75%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=38.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic': YES=98.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=7.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=4.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket