markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-10Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5': YES=56.25%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Any Other Score?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Belgium?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Belgium?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Spread: Belgium (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Belgium (-2.5)': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=23.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Belgium?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Belgium?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance': YES=74.75%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 AL Central title?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 2.5': YES=19.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Spread: Spain (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spain (-2.5)': YES=1.25%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Belgium?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Belgium?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Trieste: Henry Bernet vs Federico Bondioli': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Spread: Belgium (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Belgium (-1.5)': YES=0.25%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=78.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs': YES=88.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Polymarket top market 'Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Belgium leading at halftime?
Polymarket top market 'Belgium leading at halftime?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Will England win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-11?': YES=51.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Brandon Lowe hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?': YES=57.75%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-10Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5': YES=99.75%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Belgium?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Belgium?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: Team to Advance': YES=35.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Belgium?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Belgium?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Belgium?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Belgium?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?': YES=23.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Spain leading at halftime?
Polymarket top market 'Spain leading at halftime?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-10Spain vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket