markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'ODI Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pedri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 England?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Switzerland?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?': YES=0.10%
OPENAImarket:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Level UP - Game 1 Winner': YES=29.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 0.5': YES=73.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Corners': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner': YES=64.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=21.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winner': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=43.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5': YES=80.75%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Brandon Lowe hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 15?': YES=7.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 329: Cesar Almeida vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Early Prelims)': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=79.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Polymarket top market 'Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Spread: England (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: England (-1.5)': YES=26.25%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Polymarket top market 'Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 England?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5': YES=70.25%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5': YES=41.75%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Juan Soto hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 England?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance': YES=75.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskova': YES=59.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Swiss Open, Qualification: Thiago Monteiro vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert': YES=47.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket