markets

Manifold consensus on '3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]': YES=74.92%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?': YES=3.71%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=11.08%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia be the most valuable public company in the world at the end of 2028?': YES=53.42%

Manifold consensus on 'Will @Champion1024 get a girlfriend before NVIDIA market cap hits 5.5 trillion USD?': YES=53.43%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=9.82%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Tesla overtake NVIDIA in market cap before 2030?': YES=15.94%

Manifold consensus on 'In the next five years, will Nvidia's stock drop by 30% from its price at market close on 3/7/24?': YES=14.42%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=7.53%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?': YES=8.90%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=35.56%

Polymarket top market 'Will Kawhi play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?': YES=4.00%

Polymarket top market 'Erling Haaland: 1+ goals': YES=46.00%

Polymarket top market 'T20 Series England vs India: England vs India': YES=55.00%

Polymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?': YES=19.00%

Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5': YES=68.00%

Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by July 31?': YES=0.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Swiss Open, Qualification: Marc-Andrea Huesler vs Edas Butvilas': YES=92.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=15.40%

Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5': YES=80.25%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Argentina (-1.5)': YES=30.75%

Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)': YES=84.00%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Norway (-4.5)': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=6.40%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?': YES=13.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 England?': YES=3.70%

Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Corners': YES=51.00%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs': YES=49.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 11?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?': YES=19.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?': YES=1.50%

Polymarket top market 'UFC 329: Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)': YES=45.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?': YES=25.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 11?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 England?': YES=1.30%

Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5': YES=34.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 11?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Games Total: O/U 3.5': YES=42.00%

Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5': YES=69.75%

Polymarket top market 'Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Norway (-1.5)': YES=9.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 England?': YES=6.00%