markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Switzerland?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will CJ Abrams hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?': YES=60.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pedri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5': YES=41.75%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winner': YES=78.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?': YES=0.10%
OPENAImarket:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskova': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=42.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 15?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=21.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 329: Cesar Almeida vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Early Prelims)': YES=31.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=78.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 England?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs': YES=74.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Spread: England (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: England (-1.5)': YES=26.25%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Polymarket top market 'Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)': YES=45.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Polymarket top market 'Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Brandon Lowe hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 England?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance': YES=75.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Juan Soto hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?': YES=4.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?': YES=25.75%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will no listed leader be out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5': YES=56.75%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?': YES=24.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=14.50%
market:polymarket