markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5': YES=48.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-12Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles
Polymarket top market 'Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Granby: Nicolas Arseneault vs Andres Martin': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-12England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance': YES=56.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=34.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-12Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-12Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-12Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres
Polymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres': YES=70.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-12France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers': YES=29.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-12Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-12Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 15?': YES=8.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-12Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Polymarket top market 'Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-12Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-12Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins
Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins': YES=99.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-12Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox
Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-12Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets
Polymarket top market 'Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-12France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-12Will France win on 2026-07-14?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-07-14?': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-12Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=20.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-12Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=38.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-12France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: Team to Advance': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=21.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=18.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket