markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-28Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 28?': YES=95.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 28?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Targu Mures: Yelyzaveta Kotliar vs Dalila Spiteri': YES=74.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Liberec: Maks Kasnikowski vs Frederico Ferreira Silva': YES=21.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Targu Mures: Laura Samson vs Alesia Breaz': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5': YES=56.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds
Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Samsun: Ergi Kirkin vs Paul Inchauspe
Polymarket top market 'Samsun: Ergi Kirkin vs Paul Inchauspe': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Liberec: Martin Krumich vs Philip Henning': YES=87.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Targu Mures: Mia Ristic vs Darja Semenistaja': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Samsun: Takuya Kumasaka vs Florent Bax
Polymarket top market 'Samsun: Takuya Kumasaka vs Florent Bax': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=75.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=24.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarket