markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-30Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=14.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 31?': YES=5.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?': YES=85.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=36.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?': YES=99.90%
ANTHROPICmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=69.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=5.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Liberec: Franco Roncadelli vs Norbert Gombos': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?': YES=75.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 30?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bonn: Samuele Pieri vs Federico Agustin Gomez': YES=3.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-30Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30?': YES=87.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=21.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 30?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: VARREL vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega': YES=71.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?': YES=11.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 30?': YES=99.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=3.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 30?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=94.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs 1win - Game 1 Winner': YES=58.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Samsun: Semen Pankin vs Manoj Dhamne Manas': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?': YES=98.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=95.70%
AAPLmarket:polymarket- 2026-07-30Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 30?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket